Wednesday, April 01, 2020

Investment opportunity

I have a plan but I need investors. I trust you will all get on board, pun not intended, and we will all make a fortune converting passenger cruise ships to freighters and container ships. Too soon?

Seriously, cruise ships are a recipe for disaster, especially with the buffet meals where 2000 people may eat, in spite of pre COVID world hand sanitising and hand washing. I really doubt huge cruise ships will ever sail again. There may be smaller cruise ships eventually.

Our government was about to get our federal budget into the black for the first time for years. Clearly that won't happen now. All levels of governments are spending huge amounts of money, and they need to. The full detail of what is available to people is hard to absorb and we can only hope it is well directed and not exploited. We must be looking at billions of dollars of taxpayers money. However, governments like ours can borrow money from world bankers for almost 0%. We have no overseas tourist income and much reduced overseas student income. Yet there is no lessening of our exports with perhaps an increase in some. Some of which we had ceased manufacturing here, we are now doing so again. Money is still circulating in the economy. What we aren't spending now assuming our incomes are ok, we will spend in the future.

In Melbourne at least, supermarkets are almost back to normal, yet both of our major chains are employing so many more people now. This puzzles me a little. Are we still buying more than normal? We might buy two whereas we bought one before, but really we don't have more than we normally would. The media beat up on a run on liquour outlets seems to have mostly just been that, a beat up.

But post COVID, these extra workers will be put off and as people work through their huge stocks in their homes, I expect more workers will be put off. Manufacturing and importing will slow too as excesses are worked through.

A few statistics I read today about COVID; The only infected children in Australia, about five of them, have caught it from their parents who had travelled overseas. The highest two age groups infected in Australia are those in the twenties who continued to gather socially after being advised not to or returned from overseas travel. They can now be fined gathering. The other, the older cruise ship passengers and those related to them, with the Ruby Princess docking in Sydney and freely letting passengers off the ship, incredibly 10% of our total cases. How the eff did that happen? The buck is being passed everywhere and apparently no one is to blame.

Australia numbers today are about four and half thousand positive test results with over two thousand of those in New South Wales. There have been 19 deaths, all over 80 years old bar one. The wealthiest areas of Melbourne and Sydney have been the most affected. So there you go. It is not great here and will become worse, but I think we can hope for a quick decline as measures take effect.

We were up early this morning to pick up Little M at 8.30 after a one hour drive. We've had a good day. She rarely stops talking unless she is mesmerised by tv or devices. We bought ourselves take away coffee and drove to Albert Park Lake and fed the coots, moorhens and ducks some bread. Little M was rather too generous with the two slices of bread we took, so it quickly ran out. Where were the swans? We did see one grazing as we left.

Craft was done. Cup cakes made. Pizza for dinner made. I asked what time she goes to bed, normally between 7 and 8. I said she can stay up until 9 but I doubt she will last that long. Bath time will be after dinner.

I think a purple swamp hen.


I call these coots, but I am not really sure. They are funny to watch as they scoot across the top of the water when on a mission for a crumb of bread.


44 comments:

  1. I was thinking today about the cruise industry. One town over is a Cruising Company that sell cruises to people. The parking lots were empty.
    I always loved to cruise, but right now, I'm not sure I would ever get on another.
    So nice you have little M with you! Enjoy!

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    1. Maribeth, I doubt I ever will again, not that I planned to anyway.

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  2. Our supermarkets are emphatically not back to normal. Woolworths (teamed up with Australia Post) is sending 'basic' parcels to those who declare themselves as vulnerable. They are not a parcel I would ever take up though since Woolworths decided what goes into them and substitutes are not allowed. Some at least of our supermarkets have reduced their hours because of the extra work in preparing for on-line shopping and additional cleaning.
    My city's only death so far from the virus was a passenger on the Ruby Princess.
    Loved your excursion with little M. It looks serene and lovely.

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    1. EC, I think the panic buying may have started later in your area and it is still being dealt with. That's my guess. Reduced hours are good for sorting the problem out.

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  3. We are on our way up now as was forecast. 393 died today. Huge exhibition centres are being converted to hospitals. Excel on the Isle of dogs will be able to cope with 4000 when it reaches full capacity. Testing not going well as this is now a shortage ofthe chemical needed to do the tests. Meanwhile it seems all is going well on your side of the earth. Maybe you will escape the large numbers of deaths which are happening inEurope and willbe happening in the USA soon. Little M must have been so excited to be spending the night with you both. I too would love a sleepover somewhere else at the moment!

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    1. Marie, we certainly don't feel like we are going well but there has been some hope in the last couple of days' statistics. Maybe you should spend a night at two at home and have a little break.

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  4. A lot of selfish idiots here stocked up on the wrong things and there are photographs of out of date food piled by dustbins. Nervertheless, were going to have to pay for everything in the end - taxes, inflation, lower standards of living. The older ones amongst us might never live lives of excess again.

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    1. Tasker, that is a terrible waste. I haven't heard that hear although supermarkets have initiated an 'no returns' policy. I am not as pessimistic as you. This will pass and I think the world will have learnt a good lesson. Economies may well boom afterwards.

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  5. Life as usual but so much death and destruction everywhere these days.

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    1. Gigi, yes, so many have lost people they love.

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  6. We are "rural" here and our supermarkets are sadly a shemozzle. Mainly because people are still panic buying and there are some folks mindlessly doing a loop of the supermarkets all day long hoping toilet paper will be restocked.

    I have to go out and get groceries for the olds this morning. I am prepared for this kind of outing - I did a big shop last week. I will have a mask, hand sanitizer, my hair will be covered with a beanie and when I get back here I will take everything off including the beanie in the laundry and wash it right away, then take a shower.

    Might sound like overkill but I feel I am well placed to handle this being the germophobe I have always been. :) Now everyone else is just getting onto my level.

    You must be careful, Andrew. You have a lot of retirement to enjoy yet.

    Cruise ships will sail again, people will forget this pretty quickly. They always do. But I will still be here, germophobing, lol. Would never have got on and will never get on a cruise ship even if it contained all the people in the world I most love!

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    1. Snoskred, you are being super careful. There is always a chance of an unexpected death for us all and it can come in many ways. Just don't let concern and worry spoil your life.

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  7. I would like to invest! The cruise ships we let in, full of disease, brought it to the US too and if that's not enough, another is trying to find a port to accept it, with dead and sick people, in Florida right now. If they don't go out of business, they need pirated or torpedoed out of business. Think of the fun diving exursions to visit if a couple were sunk.

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    1. Strayer, there are a number of Australians on board. There was a rather poor taste joke going around our cruise ship last year. How the government would love it if one of these sank and all onboard died. The savings in old age pensions would be huge.

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  8. John would never step foot on a large cruise ship and we are certainly never going to do it going forward!!!
    Our grocery stores are hiring as they are using so many people to disinfect the carts also seemly restocking.

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    1. Jackie, while I had no intention of cruise ships again, I certainly wouldn't now. Same here in the supermarkets with reduced opening hours for restocking and old people hours.

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  9. Feeding the ducks, crafts, pizza and cupcakes. Sounds like a purrfect day to me.
    A little one year old died here.
    Stay safe. Stay healthy.

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    1. Sandra, that is so sad about the one year old. Thankfully it is rare.

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  10. Cruise ships always sounded horrendous to me. Just even looking at them. They beg the question why? Eating and eating and sleeping in tiny cabins in a strange kind of universe.

    Our Covid in Newfoundland was mostly sourced to a person coming in from the mainland to attend a funeral and infecting well over 100 now.

    XO
    WWW

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    1. After taken a couple of cruises, I agree with you. Good reason for why funeral numbers are so limited.

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  11. Cruise ships will never get over this I presume. So many people living in close quarters.
    Enjoy your time with little M.

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    1. Thanks Margaret and thanks for the email.

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  12. In my rather harsh opinion, the Ruby Princess Captain should be court-martialled after declaring he had no ill passengers and then letting 2700 go ashore. I read in the paper today that those stuck in their cabins on cruise ships continue to get ill and the possible cause is droplets spreading via the air-conditioning system. They should spray disinfectant through the ducts.
    After this covid-19 scare I will never take a cruise.

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    1. River, if he knowingly did so, your opinion is not harsh. But Border Force and NSW Health are not blameless either. I think you will be among many who will never cruise or never cruise again.

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  13. I'm afraid this hand-out of cash WILL be exploited. Back in the UK a terrible fire gutted London's Grenfell Tower, and 47 people (I think) lost their lives. When money began to be distributed to those who'd lost everything, all sorts of claimants appeared. Most have been caught-out, and are now in prison; but what a disgrace.

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    1. Cro, a case which I am still following although all seems to be on the legal front at the moment. Yes, there will always be those exploiters, especially when there is minimal time to check detail. The same thing happened here with our terrible 2009 bushfires but many if not all were eventually caught out. People won't tolerate others cheating the systems in tragic times.

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  14. The cruise industry will have no choice other then to change. Since this covid 19 I believe a lot of country debt is increasing massive.
    Our King Donnie the idiot talk about delete our nation debt and every since he been in there it became worst day by day.

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    1. Dora, I don't think economies will suffer for too long. I believe our government is printing money, which I don't recall happening in my lifetime.

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  15. The cruising industry will be greatly affected for years to come. The 3 ships that docked in Fremantle brought with them a few infected people, one or two died already. This has swelled the numbers as WA wasn't that bad before those. Apparently there is at least one ship that has refused to leave Fremantle for the last couple of days, so who knows what will happen!
    We are lucky as the number of deaths is very low compared with most countries, so I think we're doing something well.
    All the money being spent by Government is hopefully being spent on the right people and companies to keep us all afloat and hopefully the economy will recover in a few years. Scary times!

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    1. Sami, the ship off Fremantle may be allowed to dock for restocking and refuelling.....or maybe that is done there offshore anyway. One cam here for that purpose with some passengers on board and left as soon as prepared with no allowed off the ship nor on it.

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  16. I always said they were too big. Dockworkers refused to unload a Chinese freighter until a 2 week lockdown. Cruise ship berthed in NSW and 3 crew members ran for it. Freighter was carrying toilet rolls and other essentials. I'll be reading where anything is made from now on.

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    1. Jah Teh, I don't know where you get your information from but as usual, from you I learn things I did not know.

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  17. I have also heard that the wealthiest areas of Melbourne and Sydney have been the most affected by the virus.

    But when I heard those wealthy snots who caught coronavirus in Aspen and then refused to self isolate, one of the reasons became clear. The wealthy don't give a flying toss about the rest of the world.. they will go to restaurants and golf clubs and 21st birthday bashes, if they choose to.

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    1. Hels, I really hope they suffer consequences for their irresponsible behaviour. It is a bit different in Sydney because many of the ship passengers were from the eastern suburbs.

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  18. Lots of info here I was unaware of, and truly appreciate. Many people are surprised to know that I'm really an introvert masquerading as an extrovert(lol), so the thought of going on a cruise around that many people would never have worked for me, not to mention the exorbitant costs. I, like everyone else here, fear the cruise business will be affected too over the years. People who don't want to follow the rules may feel differently if their own family members were ever infected. Be well and stay safe. Hugs, RO

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    1. RO, I think many of us come across as extroverts when we are not. Such is the power of the written word.

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  19. Perhaps the swans are in self-isolation, too! :)

    Going on a cruise has never been on my bucket list, or any list for that matter. I've never been on one...never have wanted to.

    As for the Ruby Princess...I agree with River's comments on that one!!!

    Take care, Andrew. :)

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    1. Lee, if felt like that about the swans. Stay away from us you germ infested humans. Thanks.

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  20. The idea of being stuck on a cruise ship with thousands of others in the middle of the ocean has absolutely never appealed to me, it sounds horrific! Even more so now. Mark McGowan is desperate to get the Artania out of Fremantle harbour, unfortunately it is refusing to go! Have a lovely time with Little M 💙

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    1. Grace, if it is refused fuel and supplies, what will happen? Quite a face off.

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  21. Cruise ships have always been problematic from a health standpoint, usually gastro-intestinal issues (that also spread easily.) I think people like cruises because they are a fully planned holiday, accommodations, meals, entertainment, everything is there with no need to make plans, and they visit some neat places (though not for long.) I think they will come back in a year or two.

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    1. Travel, one benefit we found was not packing and unpacking all the time. Time will tell with cruising.

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  22. We have once made a cruise in the mediterrian sea and it was wonderful ! Was like town in the ship, I think people will love it. And the food was excellent. Apparently you are only at the beginning of the Coronavirus catastrophe, otherwise you wouldn't be allowed to go out and certainly not with a little child. It's very hard here in Europe to stay inside and not see your grandchildren, family and friends. We are lucky because we have a house and a garden but th poor people in narrow apartments and 4 children without being able to go out must be hell for parents. Increased domestic violence, increased alcohol consume, riots in the prisons etc etc.

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    1. Gattina, that was our best sea cruise too. Families are exempt but the advice is not to have large family gatherings and I don't think people are. Our rate of new infections each day has started to decline and hopefully we will reach zero in not too long.

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